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Euro zone inflation rises to higher-than-expected 2%, weakening case for jumbo rate cut

Euro zone inflation rises to higher-than-expected 2%, weakening case for jumbo rate cut


A general view shows the leaves turning yellow in a vineyard at the end of the harvest season in the Siebengebirge mountain area along the Rhine River in Bonn, Germany, on October 25, 2024. 

Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty Images

Inflation in the 20-nation euro zone rose to 2% in October, preliminary figures released by statistics agency Eurostat showed Thursday.

Economists polled by Reuters had forecast a headline figure of 1.9%. The September headline reading was revised down to 1.7% from 1.8% on Oct. 17, below market expectations.

Core inflation was unchanged at 2.7%, also slightly higher than the 2.6% expected.

The fresh Thursday inflation print is seen as crucial in judging whether the European Central Bank could consider implementing a jumbo half-percentage-point cut in interest rates at its next meeting in December.

The central bank has so far trimmed rates three times this year, making quarter-point increments that altogether took the central bank’s key rate from 4% to 3.25%.

Markets are currently pricing another 25-basis-point reduction in December.

Traders are also considering the latest growth figures for the euro area, which showed better-than-expected 0.4% expansion in the third quarter, even as analysts predicted further weakness ahead.

The ECB said during its October meeting that sluggishness in the euro zone’s economic activity had added to its confidence that inflation will not resurge dramatically.

This is a breaking news story and will be updated shortly.



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